New Poll Puts Sheyman 18 Points Ahead
Washington analyst thinks Schneider will fare better against Dold.
A new poll released today prepared by Public Policy Polling for a group supporting Waukegan community organizer Ilya Sheyman in Tuesday’s Democratic Congressional primary shows Sheyman with an 18-point lead over Deerfield management consultant Brad Schneider.
After reviewing the poll results, an editor from the independent Cook Political Report which analyzes House and Senate races, sees Schneider with a slightly better chance to win the Nov. 6 general election against Rep. Robert Dold (R-Kenilworth).
The poll of 629 likely Democratic voters with a margin of error of 3.9 percent shows 45 percent prefer Sheyman while 27 percent like Schneider. Long Grove business owner John Tree has 7 percent support while Mundelein attorney Vivek Bavda has 4 percent.
The poll was taken after a week of advertising and telephone calls from groups supporting Sheyman flooded the area informing voters Schneider has made some donations to Republicans.
Of the people surveyed, 54 percent said they were less likely to vote for Schneider after learning about his donations. Schneider campaign manager Jarrod Backous dismissed the poll results.
“For weeks, the Sheyman campaign and MoveOn.org, along with other out-out-state allies, have been spreading lies about Brad Schneider and his progressive record,” Backous said. “There is no reason to believe anything that comes from these organizations with so little familiarity with the truth."
Sheyman’s campaign manager, Annie Weinberg, considers the results a validation of Sheyman’s efforts but remains cautions. "This poll reflects clearly the energy and momentum we feel on the ground,” she said. “We're encouraged by these numbers but we take nothing for granted.”
David Wasserman, the house races editor for Cook, told Patch today he thinks Schneider will fare better against Dold than Sheyman.
“Sheyman may well win the seat but they (the Democrats) will have a better chance with Schneider,” Wasserman said. “Sheyman could turn a learning Democrat race into a tossup. There is a block of pro business pro Israel voters who bristle at MoveOn.org and will likely side with Dold over Sheyman.”
MoveOn is one of the groups which have been advertising in support of Sheyman. Sheyman was its national mobilization director before leaving the job to run for Congress.